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Let’s talk CFP Rankings

SeanMc41

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Jan 4, 2013
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Figured I’d start a thread to discuss the latest rankings. Initial impressions…surprised how far Georgia dropped and how low Bama is. Clearly the committee hates losses. The highest 2 loss team is Bama at 10. Georgia with its 2 losses is at 12 but currently not even in the field because of Boise State and their likely auto-bid. So really have to finish Top 11 to get in. Also, they don’t seem to give a crap about strength of schedule…see tu (3), Indiana (5).

Here’s who is ahead of us:
1. Oregon - Looking good. Winnable games left against Washington and Wisconsin and then the Championship game. I imagine they could lose one of those and still be in.
2. Ohio State - Obviously they have the big game this weekend with Indiana. 2nd loss would drop them way back.
3. tu - I hear more people talking about their weak schedule…but they haven’t been punished for it. Lose to us and they will…I imagine a 2nd loss to us would give them a Georgia-like plummet in the rankings. Hell, if Georgia is any indication, we may be able to knock them all the way out.
4. Penn State - Sitting pretty. Easy games against Purdue, Minn and Maryland and they then probably don’t even have to worry about playing in a championship game since it will likely be Oregon v. Winner of Ohio State/Indiana. Likely the top, non-conference champion (5th seed)
5. Indiana - Narrative is their weak schedule. It is all put to the test this weekend v. Ohio State. How far do they drop if they lose their first game?
6. BYU - Sitting pretty with an easy remaining schedule. Maybe a decent game in Big12 Championship? But only Big12 Champion gets in…nobody else. If someone else wins the Big12 they steal a spot from a more deserving team.
7. Tenn - Big game v. Georgia this weekend. No margin for error. One more loss and they are out of contention.
8. ND - Is Army really a tough game? No conference championship. Looking good for a 5-8 spot/first round home game.
9. Miami - Weak remaining regular season schedule WF and Syracuse. Comes down to the Championship Game. Likely them v. SMU in Championship- Winner gets auto, loser eliminated.
10. Bama - Top current 2 loss team. Trash remaining schedule and would need help to get into SEC Championship. So, with a little attrition ahead of them, finish 8ish? Really thought they would be higher.
11. Ole Miss - Fla and Miss. St. remaining…easy wins. No control over destiny though. Keep in mind, other than auto-qualifiers they are the last “at large” team currently in the field. Just praying to stay inside the field.
12. Georgia - Punished severely for their loss to a decent opponent. They are currently on the outside because of Boise St. Committee must have zero faith in Carson Beck. But…they beat Tenn this weekend and they get a boost and are in decent shape to at least make the field.
13. Boise St. - Searching for the 5th conference champion auto-bid. Playing spoiler. Will likely steal a spot from a more deserving team.
14. SMU - Win the ACC Championship or else. Them or Miami.

I think for us it is win out or miss out. The committee has shown their cards with how far Georgia dropped.
 
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