Election day predictions....

[KSig44]

Turnout...Turnout...Turnout. What it all comes down to. Been listening to a lot of pollsters (and not Nate Silver) that are digging into county level data and Biden is way off where he needs to be. Comes down to the turnout of the republican's that vote on election day. Here are my predictions.

Trump wins with 300+
Shocker state...Trump flips Nevada
Federal law enforcment officers are already in place and if there is violence the insurrection act will be used in places where Governors won't stand up.

Let's hear them boys.

 

[wick]

Senate will gain 2 or 3 seats. Media will be baffled

 

[dad_in_tx]

R’s flip House too.

 

[KSig44]

R’s flip House too.

That's bold, I am not quite there but they will close the gap.

 

[Aggie98nHouston]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

 

[dad_in_tx]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

They’ve had several every day on Fox. Also on Twitter.

 

[KSig44]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

I have heard the total opposite. Only Biden voters I have heard are never Trumpers and they didn't vote Trump in 2016.

Biden is having a couple issues and it's a double whammy for him in areas like Phily and Miami. Minorities are not only coming out in less numbers than they did for Hillary but Trump is increasing his percentages among them. In Phily Trump is around 25% which is a big increase from the 15% he pulled in 2016. And Democrats have pretty much shot their load, but I feel a lot of them especially in O&G areas went Trump hence the margins are so low for Biden. Lots of alarms going off at the DNC tonight and they don't have the time or a candidate with the energy to counteract it since the alarms started a week or two back.

And here is another question, where is Michelle Obama? The most popular dem and all she did was a video for him. She hasn't campaigned at all.

 

[bcg_2006]

Biden 295
Trump 243

D's keep House and gain 2 seat majority in Senate

 

[wick]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

When you are in the voting booth, integrity comes out. Vote for America

 

[wick]

Biden 295
Trump 243

D's keep House and gain 2 seat majority in Senate

That would be sad

 

[KSig44]

Biden 295
Trump 243

D's keep House and gain 2 seat majority in Senate

Is that you Nate Silver?

 

[bcg_2006]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

I think guyto. No bullshit

 

[Aggie98nHouston]

I think guyto. No bullshit

That’s definitely one except he said he didn’t vote before. But point taken.

 

[Aggie98nHouston]

I have heard the total opposite. Only Biden voters I have heard are never Trumpers and they didn't vote Trump in 2016.

Biden is having a couple issues and it's a double whammy for him in areas like Phily and Miami. Minorities are not only coming out in less numbers than they did for Hillary but Trump is increasing his percentages among them. In Phily Trump is around 25% which is a big increase from the 15% he pulled in 2016. And Democrats have pretty much shot their load, but I feel a lot of them especially in O&G areas went Trump hence the margins are so low for Biden. Lots of alarms going off at the DNC tonight and they don't have the time or a candidate with the energy to counteract it since the alarms started a week or two back.

And here is another question, where is Michelle Obama? The most popular dem and all she did was a video for him. She hasn't campaigned at all.

I’m trying to understand this but having trouble. And I’ve had a lot of bourbon so it could be me.

What I was curious about is are there people who said they voted for Clinton in 2016 that say they are voting for Trump this year. I haven’t heard of that. Not saying it hasn’t happened, but not something I’ve heard.

 

[KSig44]

I’m trying to understand this but having trouble. And I’ve had a lot of bourbon so it could be me.

What I was curious about is are there people who said they voted for Clinton in 2016 that say they are voting for Trump this year. I haven’t heard of that. Not saying it hasn’t happened, but not something I’ve heard.

I explained it above. Minorities are under-performing for Biden and Trump is increasing his percentages with them also (Phily and Miami are examples). Those are your former Clinton voters either staying home or changing their vote. Plus you have the Gary Johnson Libertarians (Libertarians are a lower % so far than 2016 and a lot of people who didn't like Trump or Hillary went there) plus you have the Ben Shapiro never Trumpers that like what they saw from term one.

 

[KSig44]

Plus the youth vote is way down. The virtual learning environment has killed the mobilization of college students going to vote as groups you would see when they are on campus. It has tightened states like New Hampshire.

 

[BIMSAg02]

Turnout does not favor Republicans

 

[KSig44]

So far you are right and there are states tight already. Republicans vote on election day normally already and with Covid and wanting to make sure their vote counts and isn't lost in the mail they are showing up heavier tomorrow. Heard anywhere from 2-1 R to D.

 

[2th_doc]

I will be shocked if Dems don’t play dirty tricks like stack the voter lines with people who agree to slow the process by overstaying their time in the booth so Republicans get discouraged and leave (social distancing plays a role) however weather looking great nationwide

 

[jeffmc]

Biden 295
Trump 243

D's keep House and gain 2 seat majority in Senate

Feels about right. We will see tomorrow

 

[ITS BK]

Just like 2016 , There will be a replay of talking heads screaming WTF as Trump exceeds 300 electoral votes once again. R’s keep the senate but fall short in the house.

 

[Colt_Seavers]

I really don’t know what to think. I do know the Democrats will do whatever it takes to get Trump out of the White House.

 

[Smasher200]

Trump is going to be up, significantly, at 1 AM and will try to announce his victory.
Dems will be using the media to say “wait until all votes are counted - especially all of the ballots we pre-stashed in the trunks of rental cars, around the country.”

Goes on for a day or two. USSC calls it and stops the counting. Trump wins - riots start - and liberals are triggered

Just a prediction.

 

[Aggie98nHouston]

I really don’t know what to think. I do know the Democrats will do whatever it takes to get Trump out of the White House.

You mean vote? That’s definitely happening despite over 200 lawsuits filed by republicans nationwide trying to suppress people’s ability to vote.

As Joe Straus said, republicans should start try to win over voters instead of trying to ensure they can’t vote.

 

[bcg_2006]

Republicans will be forced to change strategies and attract new voters after this election instead of relying on voter suppression, paranoia and fear mongering hyperbole. It's a short term solution, and deferring to expressly provide a 2020 platform this election cycle will prove ruinous.

 

[BDB99]

Republicans will be forced to change strategies and attract new voters after this election instead of relying on voter suppression, paranoia and fear mongering hyperbole. It's a short term solution, and deferring to expressly provide a 2020 platform this election cycle will prove ruinous.

So is it record turnout so far with voter suppression? Are you counting the fake polls that are designed to suppress the Republican vote?

 

[bcg_2006]

So is it record turnout so far with voter suppression? Are you counting the fake polls that are designed to suppress the Republican vote?

In spite of attempted suppression, yes.
Polls do not invalidate a cast vote.

 

[Rooster77]

voter rolls will be heavily scrutinized and once again the results will show the illegality of dead people still on rolls, people on more than 1 roll, and people casting multiple votes

and surprisingly ballot harvesting comes in at NC and there will be attemps by Dems to lock GOP out of counting - lawsuit and USSC rightly determines voter fraud on Dems again.

doubt it matters with red wave coming. more people smarter than in 2008/16 voting for a socialists campaigning as Dem than this year where socialism is on full display. doubt people want to head back into recession again with unemployment skyrocketing but there are a lot of dumb people out there.

 

[Longneck 80]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

Actually yes, several KLBJ morning callers. Fascinating thing is that everone I heard were black voters.

 

[MeatWalletMassacre]

it won't be close.

 

[darterbury]

Black and Hispanic voters not showing up for Sleepy Joe but are for Trump. Landslide

 

[Longneck 80]

it won't be close.

I don't know who will win, but I expect it to be close.

 

[ttom13]

Not making predictions but curious about something. I’ve heard lots of people who voted for Trump in 2016 say they are either voting for Biden or not voting.

I’ve yet to hear anyone say they voted for Clinton in 2016 and will vote Trump now. Has anyone heard that from people?

I am one of those people. Never Trumper turned Trump supporter. I didn't believe at all that he would govern conservatively. Gladly eating my crow and voted for Trump today.

 

[Aggie98nHouston]

I am one of those people. Never Trumper turned Trump supporter. I didn't believe at all that he would govern conservatively. Gladly eating my crow and voted for Trump today.

That’s cool. Thanks for sharing. I haven’t seen this much and was curious if others had.

I’m curious if you don’t mind answering, what do you mean that he’s governed conservatively?

 

[2th_doc]

I think I might know the answer!

 

[Fatrobby]

If you think there are more undecided people out there that saw this 1st term and said yeah more of that please - you are mistaken.

 

[Fatrobby]

That’s cool. Thanks for sharing. I haven’t seen this much and was curious if others had.

I’m curious if you don’t mind answering, what do you mean that he’s governed conservatively?

He means put conservative judges in - he’s not conservative aside from saying the right thing - he’s about Cut throat dealing and wheeling doesn’t have to be conservative

 

[darterbury]

Less regulation is a big one, lower taxes, pro lif

He means put conservative judges in - he’s not conservative aside from saying the right thing - he’s about Cut throat dealing and wheeling doesn’t have to be conservative

Cutting regulations is Conservative

 

[darterbury]

He means put conservative judges in - he’s not conservative aside from saying the right thing - he’s about Cut throat dealing and wheeling doesn’t have to be conservative

Cutting taxes, pro life

 

[darterbury]

Pro 2nd amendment